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21 Sept 2021 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.3%
Yeni Malatyaspor
32.4%
Draw
47.3%
Sivasspor

Expected Goals (xG)

0.93

Yeni Malatyaspor

vs
1.49

Sivasspor

Markets

BTTS49.9%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.543.5%
Over 3.522.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.4%
0-0
12.0%
0-1
10.2%
0-2
9.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-1
5.7%
1-0
5.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-2
4.2%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).