Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.1%
Arouca
21.0%
Draw
25.9%
Vizela
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98
Arouca
vs
1.32
Vizela
Markets
BTTS62.7%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.564.0%
Over 3.541.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.5%
1-1
9.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-0
7.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-1
6.3%
0-1
5.3%
3-0
4.8%
3-2
4.2%
0-0
3.3%
0-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).