Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.8%
Lens
20.7%
Draw
16.4%
Lille
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
Lens
vs
0.82
Lille
Markets
BTTS46.7%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.3%
2-0
11.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
7.4%
0-0
6.2%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
6.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
4.0%
4-0
3.5%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).