Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.5%
Ajaccio
25.0%
Draw
51.5%
St Etienne
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
Ajaccio
vs
1.42
St Etienne
Markets
BTTS42.5%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.565.4%
Over 2.539.8%
Over 3.519.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.6%
1-1
11.4%
0-2
10.4%
1-0
9.8%
0-0
9.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
5.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-2
3.8%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).