Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.5%
Falkirk
20.5%
Draw
13.9%
Kilmarnock
Expected Goals (xG)
2.13
Falkirk
vs
0.88
Kilmarnock
Markets
BTTS52.0%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.557.8%
Over 3.535.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.7%
3-0
7.9%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
5.4%
2-2
4.3%
4-0
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
0-1
3.9%
4-1
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).