Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.3%
Cremonese
27.4%
Draw
50.3%
Genoa
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Cremonese
vs
1.37
Genoa
Markets
BTTS41.1%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.563.7%
Over 2.537.0%
Over 3.517.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.8%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
11.2%
0-2
10.6%
1-0
9.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
5.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-0
3.7%
2-2
3.5%
0-4
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).