Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.3%
Bologna
29.2%
Draw
32.5%
Lazio
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Bologna
vs
1.01
Lazio
Markets
BTTS42.6%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.562.5%
Over 2.535.8%
Over 3.516.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.6%
1-1
13.2%
0-1
12.2%
0-0
11.7%
2-1
7.5%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
3.8%
3-1
2.8%
3-0
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).