Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.7%
Forest Green
16.2%
Draw
8.1%
Ebbsfleet
Expected Goals (xG)
2.53
Forest Green
vs
0.73
Ebbsfleet
Markets
BTTS48.3%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.563.2%
Over 3.541.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.3%
3-0
10.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.0%
1-1
7.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-0
6.5%
4-1
4.8%
0-0
4.4%
5-0
3.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).