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AHT: 00CSV

20 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.5%
Stirling
34.0%
Draw
26.4%
Cowdenbeath

Expected Goals (xG)

1.20

Stirling

vs
0.94

Cowdenbeath

Markets

BTTS45.1%
Over 0.585.9%
Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.536.2%
Over 3.517.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.7%
0-0
14.1%
1-0
11.7%
0-1
8.7%
2-0
8.5%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.4%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).