Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.1%
Trapani
29.2%
Draw
40.7%
Frosinone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Trapani
vs
1.37
Frosinone
Markets
BTTS52.3%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.524.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
0-1
9.8%
0-0
9.3%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
8.0%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.3%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
4.0%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).