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07 Apr 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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19.4%
Crawley Town
23.9%
Draw
56.7%
Bradford

Expected Goals (xG)

0.82

Crawley Town

vs
1.61

Bradford

Markets

BTTS44.3%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.522.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.6%
0-2
11.4%
1-1
11.1%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
8.3%
1-0
7.7%
0-3
6.1%
1-3
5.0%
2-1
4.8%
2-2
3.8%
2-0
2.9%
0-4
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).