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HHT: 11CSV

19 Nov 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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6.5%
Stranraer
34.7%
Draw
58.8%
Stenhousemuir

Expected Goals (xG)

0.20

Stranraer

vs
1.09

Stenhousemuir

Markets

BTTS12.6%
Over 0.572.1%
Over 1.537.4%
Over 2.514.1%
Over 3.54.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
29.5%
0-0
27.9%
0-2
16.3%
1-1
6.5%
0-3
5.9%
1-0
5.2%
1-2
3.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-1
0.6%
2-0
0.6%
0-5
0.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).