Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.7%
QPR
28.7%
Draw
33.6%
Swansea
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
QPR
vs
1.24
Swansea
Markets
BTTS53.1%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.525.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
9.2%
0-0
8.8%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
3.2%
3-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).