Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.4%
Como
21.1%
Draw
11.5%
Avellino
Expected Goals (xG)
2.10
Como
vs
0.76
Avellino
Markets
BTTS47.6%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.532.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.6%
1-0
11.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.8%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
6.7%
4-0
4.6%
2-2
3.6%
4-1
3.5%
1-2
3.5%
0-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).