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26 Sept 2025 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.9%
Varaždin
26.9%
Draw
19.2%
Vukovar

Expected Goals (xG)

1.69

Varaždin

vs
0.93

Vukovar

Markets

BTTS50.6%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.526.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.8%
1-0
11.0%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.7%
3-0
5.9%
3-1
5.4%
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
3.1%
3-2
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).