Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →81.8%
Atalanta
12.1%
Draw
6.1%
Salernitana
Expected Goals (xG)
2.78
Atalanta
vs
0.64
Salernitana
Markets
BTTS44.2%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.585.4%
Over 2.566.3%
Over 3.544.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.7%
3-0
11.7%
1-0
9.2%
4-0
8.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-1
7.5%
1-1
5.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-0
4.5%
0-0
3.2%
5-1
2.9%
2-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).