Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.5%
Lecce
30.0%
Draw
28.5%
Parma
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Lecce
vs
1.06
Parma
Markets
BTTS49.2%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.542.6%
Over 3.521.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
1-0
11.0%
0-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.5%
2-0
8.1%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).