Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.3%
Nott'm Forest
31.1%
Draw
39.6%
Brighton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Nott'm Forest
vs
1.30
Brighton
Markets
BTTS50.1%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.522.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.8%
0-0
10.9%
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.4%
1-0
8.2%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).