Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.1%
Stuttgart
23.9%
Draw
14.0%
Erzgebirge Aue
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86
Stuttgart
vs
0.77
Erzgebirge Aue
Markets
BTTS46.5%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.4%
1-0
12.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.2%
3-0
7.7%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.0%
2-2
3.7%
4-0
3.6%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).