Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.7%
Tenerife
28.7%
Draw
26.6%
Fuenlabrada
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Tenerife
vs
0.89
Fuenlabrada
Markets
BTTS42.0%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.563.0%
Over 2.536.2%
Over 3.516.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.8%
1-1
13.0%
0-0
11.6%
0-1
10.6%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
4.7%
3-0
3.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).