Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.4%
Sarpsborg 08
18.1%
Draw
16.4%
Kristiansund
Expected Goals (xG)
2.38
Sarpsborg 08
vs
1.12
Kristiansund
Markets
BTTS61.1%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.586.4%
Over 2.568.0%
Over 3.546.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.6%
2-0
8.5%
1-1
8.0%
3-1
7.6%
1-0
7.3%
3-0
6.8%
2-2
5.4%
4-1
4.5%
1-2
4.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-0
4.0%
0-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).