Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.4%
Walsall
26.0%
Draw
30.6%
Fleetwood Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Walsall
vs
1.08
Fleetwood Town
Markets
BTTS48.4%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.4%
1-1
12.3%
0-1
10.1%
2-1
8.7%
0-0
8.2%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).