Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.6%
Aris
34.3%
Draw
16.2%
Xanthi
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Aris
vs
0.53
Xanthi
Markets
BTTS28.9%
Over 0.580.0%
Over 1.550.6%
Over 2.523.3%
Over 3.58.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.4%
0-0
20.0%
1-1
12.4%
2-0
12.2%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
6.4%
3-0
4.6%
1-2
3.0%
0-2
2.7%
3-1
2.4%
2-2
1.7%
4-0
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).