Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.1%
Malaga
26.4%
Draw
23.4%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Malaga
vs
0.90
Leganes
Markets
BTTS45.2%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.521.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.0%
1-1
12.3%
2-0
10.1%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
4.0%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).