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23 Nov 2024 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.3%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
28.1%
Draw
48.7%
Elversberg

Expected Goals (xG)

0.99

Fortuna Dusseldorf

vs
1.53

Elversberg

Markets

BTTS50.4%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.524.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.4%
0-1
11.2%
0-2
9.4%
1-2
9.3%
0-0
9.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.0%
0-3
4.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).