Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.6%
Scarborough
33.6%
Draw
29.8%
Dunston
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Scarborough
vs
0.77
Dunston
Markets
BTTS31.3%
Over 0.581.4%
Over 1.549.1%
Over 2.523.3%
Over 3.58.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
18.6%
1-0
17.3%
0-1
15.0%
1-1
12.6%
2-0
7.5%
2-1
5.8%
0-2
5.6%
1-2
5.0%
3-0
2.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-1
1.7%
0-3
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).