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02 Sept 2025 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.8%
Hanwell Town
31.5%
Draw
37.7%
Wolverhampton Wanderers

Expected Goals (xG)

0.86

Hanwell Town

vs
0.98

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Markets

BTTS35.6%
Over 0.584.6%
Over 1.554.5%
Over 2.528.0%
Over 3.511.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.0%
0-0
15.4%
1-0
14.0%
1-1
13.0%
0-2
7.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-0
5.8%
2-1
5.7%
2-2
2.8%
0-3
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
3-0
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).