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DHT: 01

31 Aug 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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50.3%
Hartberg
30.1%
Draw
19.5%
Grazer AK

Expected Goals (xG)

1.33

Hartberg

vs
0.73

Grazer AK

Markets

BTTS38.8%
Over 0.586.4%
Over 1.561.7%
Over 2.533.9%
Over 3.515.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.2%
0-0
13.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-0
11.3%
0-1
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-0
5.0%
1-2
4.5%
3-1
3.6%
0-2
3.4%
2-2
3.0%
4-0
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).