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11 Feb 2026 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.0%
Brackley Town
32.1%
Draw
39.8%
Halifax

Expected Goals (xG)

0.92

Brackley Town

vs
1.15

Halifax

Markets

BTTS42.4%
Over 0.586.3%
Over 1.562.6%
Over 2.534.4%
Over 3.515.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.5%
0-0
13.7%
0-1
13.3%
1-0
10.5%
0-2
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
6.2%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
3.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-3
3.0%
3-1
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).