Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.5%
Brescia
29.7%
Draw
42.8%
Pisa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Brescia
vs
1.37
Pisa
Markets
BTTS49.7%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.522.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
0-1
10.9%
0-0
10.2%
1-2
8.7%
0-2
8.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
4.9%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
4.0%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).