Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.6%
Dag and Red
24.2%
Draw
48.2%
Chesterfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Dag and Red
vs
1.86
Chesterfield
Markets
BTTS64.0%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.562.8%
Over 3.540.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-1
6.9%
0-2
6.8%
0-1
6.5%
2-2
6.4%
1-3
5.8%
0-0
4.8%
1-0
4.5%
0-3
4.2%
2-3
4.0%
2-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).