Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.8%
Wrexham
26.2%
Draw
25.0%
Watford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Wrexham
vs
1.13
Watford
Markets
BTTS56.0%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-0
8.4%
0-0
7.1%
1-2
6.5%
0-1
5.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
5.3%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).