Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.5%
Nottingham Forest
31.9%
Draw
38.6%
Brighton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Nottingham Forest
vs
1.24
Brighton
Markets
BTTS48.1%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.519.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.0%
0-0
11.9%
0-1
10.7%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
8.2%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
0-3
3.2%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).