Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.8%
FC Koln
16.7%
Draw
13.4%
Freiburg
Expected Goals (xG)
2.74
FC Koln
vs
1.17
Freiburg
Markets
BTTS65.0%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.590.6%
Over 2.574.8%
Over 3.554.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.8%
3-1
8.0%
2-0
7.5%
1-1
6.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5.5%
2-2
5.2%
1-0
5.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-0
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
4-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).