Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.6%
Wrexham
22.9%
Draw
11.5%
Wigan
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Wrexham
vs
0.47
Wigan
Markets
BTTS28.7%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.559.6%
Over 2.533.3%
Over 3.515.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
21.3%
2-0
16.1%
0-0
12.2%
1-1
8.8%
3-0
8.4%
2-1
7.5%
0-1
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-0
3.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-2
1.8%
4-1
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).