Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.2%
Burgos
28.2%
Draw
28.6%
Sociedad
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Burgos
vs
0.97
Sociedad
Markets
BTTS44.4%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.538.6%
Over 3.518.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
1-1
13.0%
0-0
10.6%
0-1
10.5%
2-0
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
4.0%
3-0
3.6%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).