Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.4%
Liverpool
25.4%
Draw
29.2%
Brentford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Liverpool
vs
1.45
Brentford
Markets
BTTS65.6%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.585.3%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.541.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-2
6.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.6%
1-0
5.5%
0-0
5.1%
0-1
4.1%
3-2
4.0%
0-2
3.9%
3-0
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).