Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.4%
Villarreal
17.0%
Draw
12.6%
Sevilla
Expected Goals (xG)
2.55
Villarreal
vs
1.01
Sevilla
Markets
BTTS58.9%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.587.3%
Over 2.569.0%
Over 3.547.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.9%
3-0
7.9%
1-1
7.6%
1-0
7.0%
4-1
5.1%
4-0
5.0%
2-2
4.7%
3-2
4.0%
1-2
3.7%
0-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).