Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.8%
Walsall
26.5%
Draw
28.6%
Gillingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Walsall
vs
1.01
Gillingham
Markets
BTTS46.3%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.567.5%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.521.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.3%
1-1
12.4%
0-1
10.1%
0-0
9.1%
2-1
8.6%
2-0
8.6%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).