Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.4%
Bournemouth
27.0%
Draw
28.6%
Fulham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Bournemouth
vs
1.32
Fulham
Markets
BTTS61.0%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.557.5%
Over 3.535.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
7.1%
1-0
6.9%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-1
5.2%
0-1
5.1%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
3.9%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).