Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.9%
Arbroath
20.7%
Draw
16.4%
Montrose
Expected Goals (xG)
2.21
Arbroath
vs
1.05
Montrose
Markets
BTTS58.5%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.563.2%
Over 3.541.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-0
9.4%
1-0
7.9%
3-1
7.2%
3-0
6.9%
2-2
5.2%
1-2
4.7%
0-0
4.4%
4-1
4.0%
3-2
3.8%
4-0
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).