Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.6%
AFC Wimbledon
28.5%
Draw
24.9%
Salford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
AFC Wimbledon
vs
0.81
Salford
Markets
BTTS38.9%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.560.1%
Over 2.533.5%
Over 3.515.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.5%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
12.4%
0-1
11.0%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
5.3%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.0%
3-1
3.3%
2-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).