Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.4%
Perugia
29.0%
Draw
47.6%
Monza
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Perugia
vs
1.46
Monza
Markets
BTTS48.3%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
0-1
11.9%
0-0
10.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-2
4.3%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).