Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →8.6%
Crawley Town
16.8%
Draw
74.6%
Runcorn Linnets
Expected Goals (xG)
0.57
Crawley Town
vs
2.16
Runcorn Linnets
Markets
BTTS38.1%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.529.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
15.2%
0-1
14.3%
0-3
11.0%
1-2
8.7%
1-1
7.7%
0-0
6.3%
1-3
6.2%
0-4
6.0%
1-0
3.9%
1-4
3.4%
0-5
2.6%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).