Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.4%
Lecce
26.4%
Draw
59.2%
Roma
Expected Goals (xG)
0.55
Lecce
vs
1.45
Roma
Markets
BTTS32.4%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.559.2%
Over 2.532.3%
Over 3.514.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
19.7%
0-2
14.1%
0-0
13.4%
1-1
10.7%
1-2
7.8%
1-0
7.7%
0-3
6.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-1
3.0%
0-4
2.5%
2-2
2.2%
2-0
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).