Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.8%
Mirandes
22.2%
Draw
51.0%
Santander
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Mirandes
vs
1.90
Santander
Markets
BTTS62.2%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.562.3%
Over 3.540.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.9%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
7.7%
0-2
7.2%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
6.3%
1-3
6.0%
1-0
5.4%
0-3
4.6%
2-3
4.0%
0-0
3.9%
2-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).