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21 Nov 2021 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.6%
Freiburg
22.8%
Draw
39.6%
Ein Frankfurt

Expected Goals (xG)

1.82

Freiburg

vs
1.86

Ein Frankfurt

Markets

BTTS71.3%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.588.8%
Over 2.571.1%
Over 3.550.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.1%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
7.8%
2-2
7.2%
1-3
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
2-3
4.5%
0-2
4.4%
3-2
4.4%
2-0
4.2%
0-1
4.1%
1-0
4.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).