⚽ FootballData
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DHT: 12CSV

03 Mar 2019

Bochum

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.0%
Dresden
27.2%
Draw
44.8%
Bochum

Expected Goals (xG)

1.20

Dresden

vs
1.57

Bochum

Markets

BTTS56.7%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.530.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.9%
1-2
9.3%
0-1
8.6%
0-2
7.7%
0-0
7.4%
2-1
7.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
5.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
4.0%
2-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).