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15 Apr 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.1%
Grimsby
23.6%
Draw
48.2%
Mansfield

Expected Goals (xG)

1.18

Grimsby

vs
1.63

Mansfield

Markets

BTTS55.1%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.530.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.1%
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
8.0%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.8%
0-0
5.6%
2-2
5.6%
1-3
5.1%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).