Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.7%
Millwall
27.7%
Draw
22.6%
Bristol City
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Millwall
vs
0.94
Bristol City
Markets
BTTS48.5%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.544.5%
Over 3.523.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-0
9.8%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).